AWOL and desertion

Official criminal proceedings for unauthorized absence (art. 407) and desertion (art. 408), alongside public estimates of scale. These are different metrics: the case register counts proceedings; the MoD figure is a current headcount in AWOL status.

From December 2025 the Prosecutor General’s Office restricted publication of military-crime statistics for martial law. The series below is the last open OGP disclosure (through October 2025) plus public statements. One person can appear in multiple events; a case ≠ a unique individual.

Official (case register / PGO)

as of 31 October 2025
AWOL (art. 407)255,000registered proceedings
Desertion (art. 408)56,200registered proceedings
Cases combined311,200AWOL + desertion
Returned to service29,000simplified return mechanism (approx.)

Public estimates

as of 14 January 2026

Estimates do not replace the case register: the defence minister cited personnel currently in AWOL status; units report that not every internal report becomes a criminal case immediately.

MoD estimate200,000≈ people in AWOL status (stock, Jan 2026)
Field scale estimate~400,000≈ incidents incl. unregistered lag (~×2)
Case register / MoD stock255,000 / ~200,000cumulative cases vs current status

2025 process (Jan–Oct)

2025 share of AWOL64%of all art. 407 cases since 2022
Suspicion notices9,000art. 407 · Jan–Oct 2025
Sent to court7,7004.7% of AWOL cases in 10 months of 2025

* 2025 = January–October (last open PGO data).

New proceedings by year

Cumulative trend

Yearly detail (official)

YearAWOLDesertionTotal
20226,9883,40010,388
202317,6587,80025,458
202467,84023,30091,140
2025*162,51421,700184,214

* 2025 is a partial year (Jan–Oct). Detailed PGO stats have been closed since December 2025.

Sources: PGO (media replies / case register) · Opendatabot · M. Fedorov in parliament (14 Jan 2026) · open unit-level estimates

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